Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.010753 0.012477 0.014381 0.016637 0.019237 0.022137 0.025618
2026-02-08 0.008033 0.010220 0.012854 0.016256 0.020530 0.025717 0.032489
2026-02-15 0.006160 0.008489 0.011515 0.015724 0.021417 0.028844 0.039260
2026-02-22 0.005214 0.007708 0.011168 0.016303 0.023712 0.033997 0.049344
2026-03-01 0.004326 0.006812 0.010472 0.016228 0.025025 0.037934 0.058284
2026-03-08 0.003520 0.005872 0.009529 0.015593 0.025359 0.040427 0.065391
2026-03-15 0.002993 0.005265 0.008976 0.015432 0.026336 0.043943 0.074452
2026-03-22 0.002745 0.005067 0.009034 0.016244 0.028955 0.050339 0.088924
2026-03-29 0.002475 0.004779 0.008888 0.016668 0.030945 0.055906 0.102674
2026-04-05 0.002124 0.004285 0.008298 0.016203 0.031280 0.058624 0.111738
2026-04-12 0.001861 0.003914 0.007875 0.015973 0.031989 0.062054 0.122457
2026-04-19 0.001613 0.003530 0.007369 0.015502 0.032156 0.064466 0.131509
2026-04-26 0.001412 0.003216 0.006963 0.015189 0.032626 0.067576 0.142448
2026-05-03 0.001254 0.002968 0.006656 0.015033 0.033389 0.071352 0.155202
2026-05-10 0.001098 0.002698 0.006264 0.014637 0.033590 0.073998 0.165943
2026-05-17 0.001036 0.002635 0.006316 0.015231 0.036021 0.081607 0.188210
2026-05-24 0.000936 0.002467 0.006104 0.015189 0.037013 0.086219 0.204452
2026-05-31 0.000816 0.002228 0.005690 0.014608 0.036674 0.087826 0.214090
2026-06-07 0.000736 0.002077 0.005469 0.014464 0.037354 0.091827 0.229763
2026-06-14 0.000712 0.002070 0.005604 0.015230 0.040365 0.101639 0.260459
2026-06-21 0.000671 0.002011 0.005598 0.015630 0.042506 0.109605 0.287595
2026-06-28 0.000597 0.001848 0.005292 0.015195 0.042427 0.112103 0.301356
2026-07-05 0.000541 0.001725 0.005079 0.014979 0.042903 0.116049 0.319300